Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 likely near 19–21°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions with daytime highs exceeding 34°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on outcomes clustered around 18–19°C, though the leading 27°C-or-higher share reflects lingering uncertainty over nocturnal radiative cooling and possible model spread on wind and cloud cover. A frontal passage expected September 1–2 will bring sharp cooling and precipitation, but timing remains the key variable for the final daily low on the 31st; historical August minima average near 12°C, underscoring how atypical current warmth influences short-term odds. Updated model guidance in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 31. August?
27°C oder höher 92%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
17°C oder weniger
46%
18°C
26%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C oder höher
92%
27°C oder höher 92%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
46%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 likely near 19–21°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions with daytime highs exceeding 34°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on outcomes clustered around 18–19°C, though the leading 27°C-or-higher share reflects lingering uncertainty over nocturnal radiative cooling and possible model spread on wind and cloud cover. A frontal passage expected September 1–2 will bring sharp cooling and precipitation, but timing remains the key variable for the final daily low on the 31st; historical August minima average near 12°C, underscoring how atypical current warmth influences short-term odds. Updated model guidance in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 likely near 19–21°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions with daytime highs exceeding 34°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on outcomes clustered around 18–19°C, though the leading 27°C-or-higher share reflects lingering uncertainty over nocturnal radiative cooling and possible model spread on wind and cloud cover. A frontal passage expected September 1–2 will bring sharp cooling and precipitation, but timing remains the key variable for the final daily low on the 31st; historical August minima average near 12°C, underscoring how atypical current warmth influences short-term odds. Updated model guidance in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 likely near 19–21°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions with daytime highs exceeding 34°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on outcomes clustered around 18–19°C, though the leading 27°C-or-higher share reflects lingering uncertainty over nocturnal radiative cooling and possible model spread on wind and cloud cover. A frontal passage expected September 1–2 will bring sharp cooling and precipitation, but timing remains the key variable for the final daily low on the 31st; historical August minima average near 12°C, underscoring how atypical current warmth influences short-term odds. Updated model guidance in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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