The leading market probabilities for a 28–31°C high in Chongqing on August 29 reflect the expected suppression of daytime heating by a strengthening cold-air advection and widespread precipitation. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory highlight midwestern areas reaching only 27–31°C amid 30–80 mm rainfall and gusty winds, while eastern zones may still approach 33–36°C. Numerical models converge on cloud cover and evaporative cooling limiting peak temperatures below the recent 36–40°C baseline, with the highest odds clustering near 29–30°C where the rain–cool-air interaction is most pronounced. Traders are weighting these dynamic factors heavily as the event unfolds overnight on the 28th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 29. August?
29°C 27%
30°C 22%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
15%
29°C
27%
30°C
22%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
30°C 22%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
15%
29°C
27%
30°C
22%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The leading market probabilities for a 28–31°C high in Chongqing on August 29 reflect the expected suppression of daytime heating by a strengthening cold-air advection and widespread precipitation. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory highlight midwestern areas reaching only 27–31°C amid 30–80 mm rainfall and gusty winds, while eastern zones may still approach 33–36°C. Numerical models converge on cloud cover and evaporative cooling limiting peak temperatures below the recent 36–40°C baseline, with the highest odds clustering near 29–30°C where the rain–cool-air interaction is most pronounced. Traders are weighting these dynamic factors heavily as the event unfolds overnight on the 28th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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