Recent forecasts from models and agencies like Russia's Meteo center and international ensembles point to a southerly flow advecting milder air masses into Moscow, supporting daily maxima clustered around 20–22°C on August 30 amid variable cloudiness and a chance of light showers. These conditions create the tight spread in market-implied odds, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over exact peak timing, cloud optical thickness limiting insolation, and any localized convective cooling. Southerly winds of 3–8 m/s enhance mixing while pressure near 1020 hPa favors gradual warming rather than extremes; historical late-August baselines near 20°C provide context, and the next 48-hour model runs or updated guidance could shift probabilities if shower coverage or wind shifts change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 30. August?
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
22°C 17%
19°C 14%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
14%
20°C
29%
21°C
27%
22°C
17%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
6%
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
22°C 17%
19°C 14%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$51 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
29%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
17%
23°C
$12 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like Russia's Meteo center and international ensembles point to a southerly flow advecting milder air masses into Moscow, supporting daily maxima clustered around 20–22°C on August 30 amid variable cloudiness and a chance of light showers. These conditions create the tight spread in market-implied odds, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over exact peak timing, cloud optical thickness limiting insolation, and any localized convective cooling. Southerly winds of 3–8 m/s enhance mixing while pressure near 1020 hPa favors gradual warming rather than extremes; historical late-August baselines near 20°C provide context, and the next 48-hour model runs or updated guidance could shift probabilities if shower coverage or wind shifts change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$63Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like Russia's Meteo center and international ensembles point to a southerly flow advecting milder air masses into Moscow, supporting daily maxima clustered around 20–22°C on August 30 amid variable cloudiness and a chance of light showers. These conditions create the tight spread in market-implied odds, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over exact peak timing, cloud optical thickness limiting insolation, and any localized convective cooling. Southerly winds of 3–8 m/s enhance mixing while pressure near 1020 hPa favors gradual warming rather than extremes; historical late-August baselines near 20°C provide context, and the next 48-hour model runs or updated guidance could shift probabilities if shower coverage or wind shifts change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$63Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like Russia's Meteo center and international ensembles point to a southerly flow advecting milder air masses into Moscow, supporting daily maxima clustered around 20–22°C on August 30 amid variable cloudiness and a chance of light showers. These conditions create the tight spread in market-implied odds, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over exact peak timing, cloud optical thickness limiting insolation, and any localized convective cooling. Southerly winds of 3–8 m/s enhance mixing while pressure near 1020 hPa favors gradual warming rather than extremes; historical late-August baselines near 20°C provide context, and the next 48-hour model runs or updated guidance could shift probabilities if shower coverage or wind shifts change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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