Forecast models from major agencies indicate a frontal system and associated thunderstorms will moderate temperatures across the Netherlands on August 28, limiting afternoon highs in Amsterdam to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid southwesterly flow and high cloud cover. This setup follows a warmer August 27, with current consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 21–23 °C. Trader positioning reflects that narrow range, as 22 °C leads at 40 % implied probability, followed by 21 °C and 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 21 °C and the low likelihood of clear, subsiding conditions needed for 24 °C or higher further anchor the market. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any eastward shift in the low-pressure center alters these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 28. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 28. August?
22°C 40%
21°C 28%
23°C 25%
20°C 10%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
16°C oder niedriger
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
28%
22°C
40%
23°C
25%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C oder höher
3%
22°C 40%
21°C 28%
23°C 25%
20°C 10%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
16°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$27 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$43 Vol.
28%
22°C
$82 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$11 Vol.
3%
26°C oder höher
$27 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major agencies indicate a frontal system and associated thunderstorms will moderate temperatures across the Netherlands on August 28, limiting afternoon highs in Amsterdam to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid southwesterly flow and high cloud cover. This setup follows a warmer August 27, with current consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 21–23 °C. Trader positioning reflects that narrow range, as 22 °C leads at 40 % implied probability, followed by 21 °C and 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 21 °C and the low likelihood of clear, subsiding conditions needed for 24 °C or higher further anchor the market. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any eastward shift in the low-pressure center alters these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$191Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major agencies indicate a frontal system and associated thunderstorms will moderate temperatures across the Netherlands on August 28, limiting afternoon highs in Amsterdam to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid southwesterly flow and high cloud cover. This setup follows a warmer August 27, with current consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 21–23 °C. Trader positioning reflects that narrow range, as 22 °C leads at 40 % implied probability, followed by 21 °C and 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 21 °C and the low likelihood of clear, subsiding conditions needed for 24 °C or higher further anchor the market. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any eastward shift in the low-pressure center alters these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$191Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major agencies indicate a frontal system and associated thunderstorms will moderate temperatures across the Netherlands on August 28, limiting afternoon highs in Amsterdam to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid southwesterly flow and high cloud cover. This setup follows a warmer August 27, with current consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 21–23 °C. Trader positioning reflects that narrow range, as 22 °C leads at 40 % implied probability, followed by 21 °C and 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 21 °C and the low likelihood of clear, subsiding conditions needed for 24 °C or higher further anchor the market. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any eastward shift in the low-pressure center alters these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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