**Current forecasts from multiple models show the lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28 most likely falling between 14–18°C, driven by an approaching low-pressure system with southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms.** This setup increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting overnight radiative cooling while advecting milder Atlantic air; however, timing of showers and exact wind shifts introduce ensemble spread across guidance such as GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, but the current pattern favors slightly higher values. Traders appear to weigh these variables—along with model disagreement on storm intensity and boundary-layer mixing—resulting in tightly clustered probabilities around 14–17°C that capture the dominant forecast uncertainty two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 28. August?
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
17°C 46%
14°C 45%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
12°C or below
9%
13°C
44%
14°C
45%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
46%
18°C
45%
19°C
45%
20°C
10%
21°C
45%
22°C or higher
33%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
17°C 46%
14°C 45%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
12°C or below
$27 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
44%
14°C
$0 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
46%
18°C
$0 Vol.
45%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
45%
22°C or higher
$27 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models show the lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28 most likely falling between 14–18°C, driven by an approaching low-pressure system with southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms.**
This setup increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting overnight radiative cooling while advecting milder Atlantic air; however, timing of showers and exact wind shifts introduce ensemble spread across guidance such as GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, but the current pattern favors slightly higher values. Traders appear to weigh these variables—along with model disagreement on storm intensity and boundary-layer mixing—resulting in tightly clustered probabilities around 14–17°C that capture the dominant forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$55Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models show the lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28 most likely falling between 14–18°C, driven by an approaching low-pressure system with southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms.**
This setup increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting overnight radiative cooling while advecting milder Atlantic air; however, timing of showers and exact wind shifts introduce ensemble spread across guidance such as GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, but the current pattern favors slightly higher values. Traders appear to weigh these variables—along with model disagreement on storm intensity and boundary-layer mixing—resulting in tightly clustered probabilities around 14–17°C that capture the dominant forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$55Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models show the lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28 most likely falling between 14–18°C, driven by an approaching low-pressure system with southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms.** This setup increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting overnight radiative cooling while advecting milder Atlantic air; however, timing of showers and exact wind shifts introduce ensemble spread across guidance such as GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, but the current pattern favors slightly higher values. Traders appear to weigh these variables—along with model disagreement on storm intensity and boundary-layer mixing—resulting in tightly clustered probabilities around 14–17°C that capture the dominant forecast uncertainty two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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