Short-term forecasts and Singapore's official fortnightly outlook point to maximum temperatures of 31–33°C on August 26 under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with southeasterly winds and a 30–70% chance of localized thundery showers that typically limit peak heating. Recent observations show persistent heat with daily maxima exceeding 33°C on most days in early-to-mid August, including a 34.9°C reading on August 14, yet increasing cloud cover and rainfall signals in the latest model runs favor moderation. Market-implied odds cluster around 32°C because traders weigh these mixed signals against historical August averages near 31.4°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated NEA guidance and refined model consensus over the next 48 hours remain the key variables likely to shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 26. August?
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 25%
30°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
58%
33°C
25%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 25%
30°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
58%
33°C
25%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts and Singapore's official fortnightly outlook point to maximum temperatures of 31–33°C on August 26 under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with southeasterly winds and a 30–70% chance of localized thundery showers that typically limit peak heating. Recent observations show persistent heat with daily maxima exceeding 33°C on most days in early-to-mid August, including a 34.9°C reading on August 14, yet increasing cloud cover and rainfall signals in the latest model runs favor moderation. Market-implied odds cluster around 32°C because traders weigh these mixed signals against historical August averages near 31.4°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated NEA guidance and refined model consensus over the next 48 hours remain the key variables likely to shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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