**Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside risk above 32°C, explaining the combined ~17% probability on 32°C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Traders are weighting official KMA and global model consensus heavily, with limited volatility expected until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 24. August?
31°C 38%
30°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 11%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
38%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 38%
30°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 11%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$266 Vol.
1%
24°C
$276 Vol.
1%
25°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
5%
29°C
$31 Vol.
14%
30°C
$46 Vol.
26%
31°C
$98 Vol.
38%
32°C
$28 Vol.
13%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C).
Cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside risk above 32°C, explaining the combined ~17% probability on 32°C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Traders are weighting official KMA and global model consensus heavily, with limited volatility expected until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$897Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C).
Cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside risk above 32°C, explaining the combined ~17% probability on 32°C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Traders are weighting official KMA and global model consensus heavily, with limited volatility expected until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$897Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of scattered afternoon showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside risk above 32°C, explaining the combined ~17% probability on 32°C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Traders are weighting official KMA and global model consensus heavily, with limited volatility expected until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen