Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicates overnight lows of 11–13 °C for Helsinki on August 24, following a cooler-than-average mid-August period with northerly flow and frequent rain. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies after frontal passage, combined with dew-point depressions around 54 °F, supports these readings near the 12.6 °C climatological average. The elevated 48.5 % market-implied odds on 8 °C or below reflect model spread and historical precedent for rapid drops in late August, while the cluster around 11–13 °C aligns with current guidance. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether further cooling materializes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Helsinki am 24. August?
8°C oder weniger 49%
18°C oder höher 48%
15°C 36%
16°C 36%
8°C oder weniger
49%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C oder höher
48%
8°C oder weniger 49%
18°C oder höher 48%
15°C 36%
16°C 36%
8°C oder weniger
49%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C oder höher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicates overnight lows of 11–13 °C for Helsinki on August 24, following a cooler-than-average mid-August period with northerly flow and frequent rain. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies after frontal passage, combined with dew-point depressions around 54 °F, supports these readings near the 12.6 °C climatological average. The elevated 48.5 % market-implied odds on 8 °C or below reflect model spread and historical precedent for rapid drops in late August, while the cluster around 11–13 °C aligns with current guidance. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether further cooling materializes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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