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icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?

Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?

Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?

Aug. 22

Aug. 23

Aug. 24

Aug. 22

Aug. 23

Aug. 24

16°C or higher 97%

6°C or below 95%

8°C 28%

7°C 27%

Polymarket
NEU

16°C or higher 97%

6°C or below 95%

8°C 28%

7°C 27%

Polymarket
NEU

6°C or below

$5 Vol.

95%

7°C

$0 Vol.

27%

8°C

$0 Vol.

28%

9°C

$0 Vol.

26%

10°C

$0 Vol.

26%

11°C

$0 Vol.

26%

12°C

$0 Vol.

26%

13°C

$0 Vol.

26%

14°C

$0 Vol.

26%

15°C

$5 Vol.

8%

16°C or higher

$5 Vol.

97%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15
Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15
Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?

36%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on August 23?

Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on August 23?

33%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 12°C on August 22?

Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 12°C on August 22?

36%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „16°C or higher" mit 49%, gefolgt von „6°C or below" mit 48%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 49¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 49% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 22, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?" ist „16°C or higher" mit 49%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 49% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „6°C or below" mit 48%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 24. August?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.