Current forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam’s August 24 high near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with possible passing showers, aligning closely with the market’s tight 21°C (37%) and 22°C (44%) leads. Typical late-summer conditions feature modest Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover that can suppress or allow peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing of any weak fronts. Early August warmth has eased, returning temperatures toward the 71°F (22°C) monthly average, yet short-term model runs still differ on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these narrow uncertainties in steering patterns and precipitation windows, which determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or higher end of the narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 24. August?
22°C 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 8%
17°C oder niedriger
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
45%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C oder höher
1%
22°C 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 8%
17°C oder niedriger
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
45%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam’s August 24 high near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with possible passing showers, aligning closely with the market’s tight 21°C (37%) and 22°C (44%) leads. Typical late-summer conditions feature modest Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover that can suppress or allow peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing of any weak fronts. Early August warmth has eased, returning temperatures toward the 71°F (22°C) monthly average, yet short-term model runs still differ on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these narrow uncertainties in steering patterns and precipitation windows, which determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or higher end of the narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen