Traders are pricing 22°C as the most likely high for Munich on August 22, 2026, at 39% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 28.5% and 23°C at 15%, reflecting model consensus on a modest daily maximum amid late-summer cooling. Seasonal decline from peak August warmth—evident in the 27°C reading recorded on August 17—combined with typical climatological averages of 21–23°C for the date, anchors expectations. Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather project highs near 22°C under stable high-pressure influence with limited warm-air advection or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Uncertainty remains from potential model shifts in the final 48 hours, but current data favor the narrow 21–23°C band over extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 22. August?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 22. August?
22°C 39%
21°C 29%
23°C 16%
20°C 9%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
29%
22°C
39%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 29%
23°C 16%
20°C 9%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$156 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$104 Vol.
9%
21°C
$61 Vol.
29%
22°C
$137 Vol.
39%
23°C
$126 Vol.
16%
24°C
$60 Vol.
5%
25°C
$30 Vol.
5%
26°C
$137 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$545 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing 22°C as the most likely high for Munich on August 22, 2026, at 39% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 28.5% and 23°C at 15%, reflecting model consensus on a modest daily maximum amid late-summer cooling. Seasonal decline from peak August warmth—evident in the 27°C reading recorded on August 17—combined with typical climatological averages of 21–23°C for the date, anchors expectations. Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather project highs near 22°C under stable high-pressure influence with limited warm-air advection or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Uncertainty remains from potential model shifts in the final 48 hours, but current data favor the narrow 21–23°C band over extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,365Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing 22°C as the most likely high for Munich on August 22, 2026, at 39% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 28.5% and 23°C at 15%, reflecting model consensus on a modest daily maximum amid late-summer cooling. Seasonal decline from peak August warmth—evident in the 27°C reading recorded on August 17—combined with typical climatological averages of 21–23°C for the date, anchors expectations. Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather project highs near 22°C under stable high-pressure influence with limited warm-air advection or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Uncertainty remains from potential model shifts in the final 48 hours, but current data favor the narrow 21–23°C band over extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,365Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing 22°C as the most likely high for Munich on August 22, 2026, at 39% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 28.5% and 23°C at 15%, reflecting model consensus on a modest daily maximum amid late-summer cooling. Seasonal decline from peak August warmth—evident in the 27°C reading recorded on August 17—combined with typical climatological averages of 21–23°C for the date, anchors expectations. Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather project highs near 22°C under stable high-pressure influence with limited warm-air advection or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Uncertainty remains from potential model shifts in the final 48 hours, but current data favor the narrow 21–23°C band over extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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