Latest meteorological model consensus points to a maximum temperature near 27–28 °C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and sea-surface temperatures around 25 °C that moderate coastal readings. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns but sit slightly below the month’s 29–31 °C climatological average. Recent forecast updates have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C at 53.5 % implied probability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for any intensification of onshore winds or clearer skies that could push readings into the upper 20s. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 22. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 22. August?
27°C 53%
28°C 28%
26°C 17%
29°C 6%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
53%
28°C
28%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
4%
27°C 53%
28°C 28%
26°C 17%
29°C 6%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
3%
25°C
$7 Vol.
4%
26°C
$13 Vol.
17%
27°C
$150 Vol.
53%
28°C
$42 Vol.
28%
29°C
$7 Vol.
6%
30°C
$22 Vol.
3%
31°C
$34 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus points to a maximum temperature near 27–28 °C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and sea-surface temperatures around 25 °C that moderate coastal readings. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns but sit slightly below the month’s 29–31 °C climatological average. Recent forecast updates have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C at 53.5 % implied probability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for any intensification of onshore winds or clearer skies that could push readings into the upper 20s. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$296Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus points to a maximum temperature near 27–28 °C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and sea-surface temperatures around 25 °C that moderate coastal readings. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns but sit slightly below the month’s 29–31 °C climatological average. Recent forecast updates have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C at 53.5 % implied probability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for any intensification of onshore winds or clearer skies that could push readings into the upper 20s. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$296Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus points to a maximum temperature near 27–28 °C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and sea-surface temperatures around 25 °C that moderate coastal readings. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns but sit slightly below the month’s 29–31 °C climatological average. Recent forecast updates have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C at 53.5 % implied probability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for any intensification of onshore winds or clearer skies that could push readings into the upper 20s. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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