Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Milan's August 22 maximum most likely near 28–29°C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective timing, and Po Valley wind patterns create the narrow gap, as even modest cloud cover or scattered thundery showers can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C while clear, subsiding high-pressure conditions allow brief spikes toward 30°C. These align with typical late-August climatology of 28–30°C highs, though urban heat-island effects in Milan add slight upside potential. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 22. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 22. August?
28°C 36%
29°C 33%
27°C 14%
30°C or higher 12%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
14%
28°C
36%
29°C
33%
30°C or higher
12%
28°C 36%
29°C 33%
27°C 14%
30°C or higher 12%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$68 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C
$118 Vol.
14%
28°C
$109 Vol.
36%
29°C
$34 Vol.
33%
30°C or higher
$75 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Milan's August 22 maximum most likely near 28–29°C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective timing, and Po Valley wind patterns create the narrow gap, as even modest cloud cover or scattered thundery showers can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C while clear, subsiding high-pressure conditions allow brief spikes toward 30°C. These align with typical late-August climatology of 28–30°C highs, though urban heat-island effects in Milan add slight upside potential. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,615Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Milan's August 22 maximum most likely near 28–29°C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective timing, and Po Valley wind patterns create the narrow gap, as even modest cloud cover or scattered thundery showers can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C while clear, subsiding high-pressure conditions allow brief spikes toward 30°C. These align with typical late-August climatology of 28–30°C highs, though urban heat-island effects in Milan add slight upside potential. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,615Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Milan's August 22 maximum most likely near 28–29°C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective timing, and Po Valley wind patterns create the narrow gap, as even modest cloud cover or scattered thundery showers can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C while clear, subsiding high-pressure conditions allow brief spikes toward 30°C. These align with typical late-August climatology of 28–30°C highs, though urban heat-island effects in Milan add slight upside potential. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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