Latest global model ensembles point to a mostly overcast day with light variable winds and possible brief showers, limiting surface heating and anchoring Moscow’s August 22 maximum near the 22–24 °C range that currently dominates trader positioning. Small differences in forecast cloud thickness, the exact timing of any frontal passage, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether the peak reaches 22 °C, 23 °C, or 24 °C, keeping those three outcomes tightly bunched. Historical late-August climatology shows similar variability when high pressure weakens and Atlantic moisture intrudes, reinforcing the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 22. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 22. August?
23°C 38%
24°C 30%
22°C 26%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
26%
23°C
38%
24°C
30%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
5%
23°C 38%
24°C 30%
22°C 26%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$17 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
5%
19°C
$10 Vol.
6%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C
$26 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$26 Vol.
38%
24°C
$18 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$32 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$10 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model ensembles point to a mostly overcast day with light variable winds and possible brief showers, limiting surface heating and anchoring Moscow’s August 22 maximum near the 22–24 °C range that currently dominates trader positioning. Small differences in forecast cloud thickness, the exact timing of any frontal passage, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether the peak reaches 22 °C, 23 °C, or 24 °C, keeping those three outcomes tightly bunched. Historical late-August climatology shows similar variability when high pressure weakens and Atlantic moisture intrudes, reinforcing the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$148Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model ensembles point to a mostly overcast day with light variable winds and possible brief showers, limiting surface heating and anchoring Moscow’s August 22 maximum near the 22–24 °C range that currently dominates trader positioning. Small differences in forecast cloud thickness, the exact timing of any frontal passage, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether the peak reaches 22 °C, 23 °C, or 24 °C, keeping those three outcomes tightly bunched. Historical late-August climatology shows similar variability when high pressure weakens and Atlantic moisture intrudes, reinforcing the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$148Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global model ensembles point to a mostly overcast day with light variable winds and possible brief showers, limiting surface heating and anchoring Moscow’s August 22 maximum near the 22–24 °C range that currently dominates trader positioning. Small differences in forecast cloud thickness, the exact timing of any frontal passage, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether the peak reaches 22 °C, 23 °C, or 24 °C, keeping those three outcomes tightly bunched. Historical late-August climatology shows similar variability when high pressure weakens and Atlantic moisture intrudes, reinforcing the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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