Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a maximum near 30–32°C in Shanghai on August 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions. This keeps market-implied odds tightly balanced between 30°C and 31°C because small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any rain, or steering flow can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and proximity to the East China Sea add local variability, while climatological averages for mid-to-late August hover around 31°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 20. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 20. August?
30°C 36%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
36%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$280 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$183 Vol.
1%
28°C
$91 Vol.
4%
29°C
$142 Vol.
12%
30°C
$355 Vol.
36%
31°C
$94 Vol.
34%
32°C
$98 Vol.
14%
33°C
$39 Vol.
2%
34°C
$18 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a maximum near 30–32°C in Shanghai on August 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions. This keeps market-implied odds tightly balanced between 30°C and 31°C because small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any rain, or steering flow can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and proximity to the East China Sea add local variability, while climatological averages for mid-to-late August hover around 31°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,457Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a maximum near 30–32°C in Shanghai on August 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions. This keeps market-implied odds tightly balanced between 30°C and 31°C because small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any rain, or steering flow can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and proximity to the East China Sea add local variability, while climatological averages for mid-to-late August hover around 31°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,457Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a maximum near 30–32°C in Shanghai on August 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions. This keeps market-implied odds tightly balanced between 30°C and 31°C because small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any rain, or steering flow can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and proximity to the East China Sea add local variability, while climatological averages for mid-to-late August hover around 31°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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