Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate.com points to a daytime high near 31–33°C in Shenzhen on August 18 amid subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop in the afternoon. These convective patterns, driven by seasonal monsoon instability, often cap peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which helps explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C rather than higher values. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32°C, but short-term variability in storm timing and local urban heat effects introduce genuine uncertainty ahead of final observational data. Updated regional forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 18. August?
31°C 31%
32°C 29%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
12%
31°C
31%
32°C
29%
33°C
16%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 31%
32°C 29%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$308 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$94 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
8%
30°C
$7 Vol.
12%
31°C
$71 Vol.
31%
32°C
$40 Vol.
29%
33°C
$41 Vol.
16%
34°C
$39 Vol.
10%
35°C
$15 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate.com points to a daytime high near 31–33°C in Shenzhen on August 18 amid subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop in the afternoon. These convective patterns, driven by seasonal monsoon instability, often cap peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which helps explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C rather than higher values. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32°C, but short-term variability in storm timing and local urban heat effects introduce genuine uncertainty ahead of final observational data. Updated regional forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$968Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate.com points to a daytime high near 31–33°C in Shenzhen on August 18 amid subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop in the afternoon. These convective patterns, driven by seasonal monsoon instability, often cap peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which helps explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C rather than higher values. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32°C, but short-term variability in storm timing and local urban heat effects introduce genuine uncertainty ahead of final observational data. Updated regional forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$968Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate.com points to a daytime high near 31–33°C in Shenzhen on August 18 amid subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop in the afternoon. These convective patterns, driven by seasonal monsoon instability, often cap peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which helps explain why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C rather than higher values. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32°C, but short-term variability in storm timing and local urban heat effects introduce genuine uncertainty ahead of final observational data. Updated regional forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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