Recent forecast consensus from European models and the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) places Warsaw under a cooler northwesterly flow, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected on August 18. This setup limits daytime heating, positioning maximum temperatures most likely in the 19–21°C range and explaining the market's concentration around 20°C (39.5%) and 19°C (29.5%). Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern deviates cooler. Traders monitor updated model runs and official IMGW guidance for any shifts in steering flow or timing of precipitation that could alter peak values before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 18. August?
20°C 40%
19°C 30%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
30%
20°C
40%
21°C
18%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 40%
19°C 30%
21°C 18%
18°C 9%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
$79 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$136 Vol.
1%
17°C
$59 Vol.
2%
18°C
$239 Vol.
9%
19°C
$90 Vol.
30%
20°C
$1,195 Vol.
40%
21°C
$79 Vol.
18%
22°C
$73 Vol.
5%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) places Warsaw under a cooler northwesterly flow, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected on August 18. This setup limits daytime heating, positioning maximum temperatures most likely in the 19–21°C range and explaining the market's concentration around 20°C (39.5%) and 19°C (29.5%). Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern deviates cooler. Traders monitor updated model runs and official IMGW guidance for any shifts in steering flow or timing of precipitation that could alter peak values before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$2,188Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) places Warsaw under a cooler northwesterly flow, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected on August 18. This setup limits daytime heating, positioning maximum temperatures most likely in the 19–21°C range and explaining the market's concentration around 20°C (39.5%) and 19°C (29.5%). Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern deviates cooler. Traders monitor updated model runs and official IMGW guidance for any shifts in steering flow or timing of precipitation that could alter peak values before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,188Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European models and the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) places Warsaw under a cooler northwesterly flow, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected on August 18. This setup limits daytime heating, positioning maximum temperatures most likely in the 19–21°C range and explaining the market's concentration around 20°C (39.5%) and 19°C (29.5%). Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern deviates cooler. Traders monitor updated model runs and official IMGW guidance for any shifts in steering flow or timing of precipitation that could alter peak values before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen