Recent ensemble forecasts from models including the China Meteorological Administration highlight persistent high pressure and light southerly flow over the Yellow Sea coastal plain as the main drivers pushing Qingdao’s August 18 peak toward 32–33 °C. Marine moderation from the adjacent sea normally caps midsummer highs near 29–30 °C, yet reduced cloud cover and stronger insolation allow modest warming above that baseline. Traders weight the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C outcomes because small differences in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer humidity, or exact high-pressure positioning can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 18. August?
33°C 38%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
31°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
27%
33°C
38%
34°C
23%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C oder höher
5%
33°C 38%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
31°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
27°C oder darunter
$137 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$18 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
2%
31°C
$40 Vol.
10%
32°C
$22 Vol.
27%
33°C
$415 Vol.
38%
34°C
$78 Vol.
23%
35°C
$55 Vol.
7%
36°C
$78 Vol.
3%
37°C oder höher
$37 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including the China Meteorological Administration highlight persistent high pressure and light southerly flow over the Yellow Sea coastal plain as the main drivers pushing Qingdao’s August 18 peak toward 32–33 °C. Marine moderation from the adjacent sea normally caps midsummer highs near 29–30 °C, yet reduced cloud cover and stronger insolation allow modest warming above that baseline. Traders weight the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C outcomes because small differences in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer humidity, or exact high-pressure positioning can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$916Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including the China Meteorological Administration highlight persistent high pressure and light southerly flow over the Yellow Sea coastal plain as the main drivers pushing Qingdao’s August 18 peak toward 32–33 °C. Marine moderation from the adjacent sea normally caps midsummer highs near 29–30 °C, yet reduced cloud cover and stronger insolation allow modest warming above that baseline. Traders weight the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C outcomes because small differences in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer humidity, or exact high-pressure positioning can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$916Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including the China Meteorological Administration highlight persistent high pressure and light southerly flow over the Yellow Sea coastal plain as the main drivers pushing Qingdao’s August 18 peak toward 32–33 °C. Marine moderation from the adjacent sea normally caps midsummer highs near 29–30 °C, yet reduced cloud cover and stronger insolation allow modest warming above that baseline. Traders weight the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C outcomes because small differences in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer humidity, or exact high-pressure positioning can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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