Current short-range forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and European numerical guidance show Moscow's August 18 daily maximum most likely reaching 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal warming expected under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the normal late-August decline from peak summer values and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or warm advection that could push readings higher. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud or shower development that could cap the peak by 1 °C. Historical climatology for mid-August places the long-term average high near 21 °C, so the market's tight clustering between 22 °C and 23 °C reflects traders pricing the narrow window between a near-normal outcome and a modest positive anomaly. Updated model runs and observational data through the weekend will be the next key inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. August?
23°C 40%
22°C 36%
21°C 15%
24°C 9%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
15%
22°C
36%
23°C
40%
24°C
9%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 40%
22°C 36%
21°C 15%
24°C 9%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$37 Vol.
1%
19°C
$278 Vol.
2%
20°C
$66 Vol.
6%
21°C
$99 Vol.
15%
22°C
$81 Vol.
36%
23°C
$53 Vol.
40%
24°C
$63 Vol.
9%
25°C
$131 Vol.
2%
26°C
$94 Vol.
2%
27°C
$26 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$21 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and European numerical guidance show Moscow's August 18 daily maximum most likely reaching 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal warming expected under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the normal late-August decline from peak summer values and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or warm advection that could push readings higher. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud or shower development that could cap the peak by 1 °C. Historical climatology for mid-August places the long-term average high near 21 °C, so the market's tight clustering between 22 °C and 23 °C reflects traders pricing the narrow window between a near-normal outcome and a modest positive anomaly. Updated model runs and observational data through the weekend will be the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$949Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and European numerical guidance show Moscow's August 18 daily maximum most likely reaching 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal warming expected under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the normal late-August decline from peak summer values and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or warm advection that could push readings higher. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud or shower development that could cap the peak by 1 °C. Historical climatology for mid-August places the long-term average high near 21 °C, so the market's tight clustering between 22 °C and 23 °C reflects traders pricing the narrow window between a near-normal outcome and a modest positive anomaly. Updated model runs and observational data through the weekend will be the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$949Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and European numerical guidance show Moscow's August 18 daily maximum most likely reaching 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal warming expected under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the normal late-August decline from peak summer values and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or warm advection that could push readings higher. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud or shower development that could cap the peak by 1 °C. Historical climatology for mid-August places the long-term average high near 21 °C, so the market's tight clustering between 22 °C and 23 °C reflects traders pricing the narrow window between a near-normal outcome and a modest positive anomaly. Updated model runs and observational data through the weekend will be the next key inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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