Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity is suppressing daytime heating across Metro Manila through August 19, with PAGASA forecasting continued cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap highs. Long-term August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 31°C, yet current model guidance and recent observations point to 27–29°C under overcast, moist conditions driven by the monsoon trough. An emerging El Niño may gradually reduce rainfall later in the season, but near-term steering patterns and high humidity favor the market’s clustering around 28°C (40% implied) and 29°C (27%). Updated PAGASA and global model runs ahead of the 18th will be the next key data points for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 18. August?
28°C 40%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
40%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C oder höher
4%
28°C 40%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$30 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
1%
25°C
$32 Vol.
4%
26°C
$3 Vol.
7%
27°C
$12 Vol.
20%
28°C
$44 Vol.
40%
29°C
$46 Vol.
27%
30°C
$6 Vol.
10%
31°C
$25 Vol.
4%
32°C oder höher
$84 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity is suppressing daytime heating across Metro Manila through August 19, with PAGASA forecasting continued cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap highs. Long-term August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 31°C, yet current model guidance and recent observations point to 27–29°C under overcast, moist conditions driven by the monsoon trough. An emerging El Niño may gradually reduce rainfall later in the season, but near-term steering patterns and high humidity favor the market’s clustering around 28°C (40% implied) and 29°C (27%). Updated PAGASA and global model runs ahead of the 18th will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$323Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity is suppressing daytime heating across Metro Manila through August 19, with PAGASA forecasting continued cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap highs. Long-term August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 31°C, yet current model guidance and recent observations point to 27–29°C under overcast, moist conditions driven by the monsoon trough. An emerging El Niño may gradually reduce rainfall later in the season, but near-term steering patterns and high humidity favor the market’s clustering around 28°C (40% implied) and 29°C (27%). Updated PAGASA and global model runs ahead of the 18th will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$323Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity is suppressing daytime heating across Metro Manila through August 19, with PAGASA forecasting continued cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap highs. Long-term August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 31°C, yet current model guidance and recent observations point to 27–29°C under overcast, moist conditions driven by the monsoon trough. An emerging El Niño may gradually reduce rainfall later in the season, but near-term steering patterns and high humidity favor the market’s clustering around 28°C (40% implied) and 29°C (27%). Updated PAGASA and global model runs ahead of the 18th will be the next key data points for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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