Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a southwesterly airstream bringing slightly cloudier conditions with isolated showers to the region ahead of August 16, moderating peak heating after several days of very hot weather warnings and urban highs near 34°C. This setup favors maximum temperatures of 32–33°C at the Observatory, with model consensus pointing to limited solar insolation and higher humidity suppressing further rises, though clearer intervals could still allow brief spikes. Historical August baselines show typical highs around 31–32°C, but the current ENSO-neutral backdrop and long-term warming trend keep 34°C or higher plausible if steering patterns shift. Traders are pricing the 32°C and 33°C outcomes nearly equally, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of showers over the next 48 hours before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. August?
33°C 39%
32°C 33%
34°C 12%
31°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
33%
33°C
39%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 33%
34°C 12%
31°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$867 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$133 Vol.
3%
31°C
$25 Vol.
12%
32°C
$140 Vol.
33%
33°C
$46 Vol.
39%
34°C
$350 Vol.
12%
35°C
$72 Vol.
4%
36°C
$52 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$107 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a southwesterly airstream bringing slightly cloudier conditions with isolated showers to the region ahead of August 16, moderating peak heating after several days of very hot weather warnings and urban highs near 34°C. This setup favors maximum temperatures of 32–33°C at the Observatory, with model consensus pointing to limited solar insolation and higher humidity suppressing further rises, though clearer intervals could still allow brief spikes. Historical August baselines show typical highs around 31–32°C, but the current ENSO-neutral backdrop and long-term warming trend keep 34°C or higher plausible if steering patterns shift. Traders are pricing the 32°C and 33°C outcomes nearly equally, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of showers over the next 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,030Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a southwesterly airstream bringing slightly cloudier conditions with isolated showers to the region ahead of August 16, moderating peak heating after several days of very hot weather warnings and urban highs near 34°C. This setup favors maximum temperatures of 32–33°C at the Observatory, with model consensus pointing to limited solar insolation and higher humidity suppressing further rises, though clearer intervals could still allow brief spikes. Historical August baselines show typical highs around 31–32°C, but the current ENSO-neutral backdrop and long-term warming trend keep 34°C or higher plausible if steering patterns shift. Traders are pricing the 32°C and 33°C outcomes nearly equally, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of showers over the next 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,030Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a southwesterly airstream bringing slightly cloudier conditions with isolated showers to the region ahead of August 16, moderating peak heating after several days of very hot weather warnings and urban highs near 34°C. This setup favors maximum temperatures of 32–33°C at the Observatory, with model consensus pointing to limited solar insolation and higher humidity suppressing further rises, though clearer intervals could still allow brief spikes. Historical August baselines show typical highs around 31–32°C, but the current ENSO-neutral backdrop and long-term warming trend keep 34°C or higher plausible if steering patterns shift. Traders are pricing the 32°C and 33°C outcomes nearly equally, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of showers over the next 48 hours before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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