Recent Météo-France and European model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies yielding a minimum near 19°C in central Paris on August 16, following a midweek heatwave that raised baselines before moderating Atlantic flow arrives. This positions the 19°C outcome as the modal resolution while supporting elevated odds for 18°C or below if clearer skies enhance cooling or if models trend 1–2°C lower overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, yet current steering patterns and residual warmth keep the distribution centered slightly above average. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official bulletins through the evening of the 15th for any last adjustments ahead of the 24-hour observational window used for market settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 16. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 16. August?
19°C 41%
18°C oder niedriger 24%
20°C 21%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
24%
19°C
41%
20°C
21%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C oder niedriger 24%
20°C 21%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
$1,805 Vol.
24%
19°C
$1,754 Vol.
41%
20°C
$292 Vol.
21%
21°C
$603 Vol.
10%
22°C
$141 Vol.
2%
23°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
28°C oder höher
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and European model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies yielding a minimum near 19°C in central Paris on August 16, following a midweek heatwave that raised baselines before moderating Atlantic flow arrives. This positions the 19°C outcome as the modal resolution while supporting elevated odds for 18°C or below if clearer skies enhance cooling or if models trend 1–2°C lower overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, yet current steering patterns and residual warmth keep the distribution centered slightly above average. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official bulletins through the evening of the 15th for any last adjustments ahead of the 24-hour observational window used for market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volumen
$5,016Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and European model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies yielding a minimum near 19°C in central Paris on August 16, following a midweek heatwave that raised baselines before moderating Atlantic flow arrives. This positions the 19°C outcome as the modal resolution while supporting elevated odds for 18°C or below if clearer skies enhance cooling or if models trend 1–2°C lower overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, yet current steering patterns and residual warmth keep the distribution centered slightly above average. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official bulletins through the evening of the 15th for any last adjustments ahead of the 24-hour observational window used for market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,016Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and European model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies yielding a minimum near 19°C in central Paris on August 16, following a midweek heatwave that raised baselines before moderating Atlantic flow arrives. This positions the 19°C outcome as the modal resolution while supporting elevated odds for 18°C or below if clearer skies enhance cooling or if models trend 1–2°C lower overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, yet current steering patterns and residual warmth keep the distribution centered slightly above average. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official bulletins through the evening of the 15th for any last adjustments ahead of the 24-hour observational window used for market settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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