**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15 centers on the narrow gap between 30°C and 31°C outcomes because official and ensemble forecasts diverge on whether daytime heating will reach the upper 20s or low 30s amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers.** The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance currently projects a 32°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% precipitation chance, while other models such as the UK Met Office favor a 30°C ceiling. These differences arise from uncertainty in how much solar insolation will be reduced by lingering moisture and weak frontal activity following the early-August heatwave peak. High humidity typical of mid-August in the region supports elevated heat indices, yet increased cloudiness and any convective development can suppress surface temperatures by limiting afternoon warming. With the observation window only two days away, updates to model runs and official briefings on steering patterns and moisture transport remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied distribution between these closely matched outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. August?
30°C 31%
31°C 30%
29°C 25%
28°C 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
31%
31°C
30%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
31°C 30%
29°C 25%
28°C 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$379 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
3%
27°C
$20 Vol.
3%
28°C
$68 Vol.
10%
29°C
$105 Vol.
25%
30°C
$106 Vol.
31%
31°C
$33 Vol.
30%
32°C
$17 Vol.
8%
33°C
$23 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15 centers on the narrow gap between 30°C and 31°C outcomes because official and ensemble forecasts diverge on whether daytime heating will reach the upper 20s or low 30s amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers.**
The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance currently projects a 32°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% precipitation chance, while other models such as the UK Met Office favor a 30°C ceiling. These differences arise from uncertainty in how much solar insolation will be reduced by lingering moisture and weak frontal activity following the early-August heatwave peak.
High humidity typical of mid-August in the region supports elevated heat indices, yet increased cloudiness and any convective development can suppress surface temperatures by limiting afternoon warming. With the observation window only two days away, updates to model runs and official briefings on steering patterns and moisture transport remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied distribution between these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$932Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15 centers on the narrow gap between 30°C and 31°C outcomes because official and ensemble forecasts diverge on whether daytime heating will reach the upper 20s or low 30s amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers.**
The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance currently projects a 32°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% precipitation chance, while other models such as the UK Met Office favor a 30°C ceiling. These differences arise from uncertainty in how much solar insolation will be reduced by lingering moisture and weak frontal activity following the early-August heatwave peak.
High humidity typical of mid-August in the region supports elevated heat indices, yet increased cloudiness and any convective development can suppress surface temperatures by limiting afternoon warming. With the observation window only two days away, updates to model runs and official briefings on steering patterns and moisture transport remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied distribution between these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$932Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15 centers on the narrow gap between 30°C and 31°C outcomes because official and ensemble forecasts diverge on whether daytime heating will reach the upper 20s or low 30s amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers.** The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance currently projects a 32°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% precipitation chance, while other models such as the UK Met Office favor a 30°C ceiling. These differences arise from uncertainty in how much solar insolation will be reduced by lingering moisture and weak frontal activity following the early-August heatwave peak. High humidity typical of mid-August in the region supports elevated heat indices, yet increased cloudiness and any convective development can suppress surface temperatures by limiting afternoon warming. With the observation window only two days away, updates to model runs and official briefings on steering patterns and moisture transport remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied distribution between these closely matched outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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