Recent forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a mild southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover will likely push Helsinki's maximum temperature on August 15 into the 21–23 °C range, supporting the near-even market split between 22 °C and 23 °C. Mid-August climatology shows daily highs averaging near 20 °C with modest day-to-day variability driven by Baltic Sea surface temperatures and transient ridges. Small differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon mixing can shift the daily peak by 1 °C, keeping 21 °C and 24 °C viable but lower-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 15. August?
22°C 33%
23°C 33%
21°C 15%
24°C 10%
17°C oder weniger
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
15%
22°C
33%
23°C
33%
24°C
10%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
1%
22°C 33%
23°C 33%
21°C 15%
24°C 10%
17°C oder weniger
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
15%
22°C
33%
23°C
33%
24°C
10%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a mild southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover will likely push Helsinki's maximum temperature on August 15 into the 21–23 °C range, supporting the near-even market split between 22 °C and 23 °C. Mid-August climatology shows daily highs averaging near 20 °C with modest day-to-day variability driven by Baltic Sea surface temperatures and transient ridges. Small differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon mixing can shift the daily peak by 1 °C, keeping 21 °C and 24 °C viable but lower-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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