Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that outcome and supporting the secondary 26.5% chance at 16°C. This reflects near-average winter conditions for the region, where August climatological highs typically range 12–13°C amid variable southerly and northerly flows. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigned a 45% probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with current model guidance showing limited warming potential from transient high-pressure influences. Recent days have recorded highs of 13–14°C, reinforcing trader focus on short-range forecast stability rather than seasonal anomalies. Any revisions from updated numerical models or shifts in wind direction could adjust these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 13. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 13. August?
15°C 51%
16°C 26%
14°C 21%
17°C 3%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
21%
15°C
51%
16°C
26%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
16°C 26%
14°C 21%
17°C 3%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$429 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$429 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$201 Vol.
1%
12°C
$247 Vol.
1%
13°C
$138 Vol.
2%
14°C
$468 Vol.
21%
15°C
$417 Vol.
51%
16°C
$677 Vol.
26%
17°C
$157 Vol.
3%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that outcome and supporting the secondary 26.5% chance at 16°C. This reflects near-average winter conditions for the region, where August climatological highs typically range 12–13°C amid variable southerly and northerly flows. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigned a 45% probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with current model guidance showing limited warming potential from transient high-pressure influences. Recent days have recorded highs of 13–14°C, reinforcing trader focus on short-range forecast stability rather than seasonal anomalies. Any revisions from updated numerical models or shifts in wind direction could adjust these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,333Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that outcome and supporting the secondary 26.5% chance at 16°C. This reflects near-average winter conditions for the region, where August climatological highs typically range 12–13°C amid variable southerly and northerly flows. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigned a 45% probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with current model guidance showing limited warming potential from transient high-pressure influences. Recent days have recorded highs of 13–14°C, reinforcing trader focus on short-range forecast stability rather than seasonal anomalies. Any revisions from updated numerical models or shifts in wind direction could adjust these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,333Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that outcome and supporting the secondary 26.5% chance at 16°C. This reflects near-average winter conditions for the region, where August climatological highs typically range 12–13°C amid variable southerly and northerly flows. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigned a 45% probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with current model guidance showing limited warming potential from transient high-pressure influences. Recent days have recorded highs of 13–14°C, reinforcing trader focus on short-range forecast stability rather than seasonal anomalies. Any revisions from updated numerical models or shifts in wind direction could adjust these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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