Recent Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance for August 11 show persistent hot, humid conditions with overnight lows expected near 28–29 °C, driven by high dew points, substantial cloud cover, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. These align with August climatology of 26–28 °C minima and the seasonal forecast of normal-to-above-normal temperatures under ongoing ENSO influences. Recent days, including a 26 °C low on August 6 and daily readings in the upper 20s, have reinforced trader consensus around 29 °C (52.5 % implied probability) as the leading outcome, while the modest 28 °C (27.5 %) and 30 °C (15 %) shares reflect minor uncertainty in shower timing and wind patterns that could alter the exact minimum. No major cooling mechanisms appear in the short-term outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 11. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 11. August?
29°C 53%
28°C 31%
30°C 12%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
31%
29°C
53%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 53%
28°C 31%
30°C 12%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$113 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$177 Vol.
1%
26°C
$414 Vol.
3%
27°C
$209 Vol.
5%
28°C
$343 Vol.
31%
29°C
$1,233 Vol.
53%
30°C
$481 Vol.
12%
31°C
$511 Vol.
3%
32°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$198 Vol.
1%
34°C oder höher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance for August 11 show persistent hot, humid conditions with overnight lows expected near 28–29 °C, driven by high dew points, substantial cloud cover, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. These align with August climatology of 26–28 °C minima and the seasonal forecast of normal-to-above-normal temperatures under ongoing ENSO influences. Recent days, including a 26 °C low on August 6 and daily readings in the upper 20s, have reinforced trader consensus around 29 °C (52.5 % implied probability) as the leading outcome, while the modest 28 °C (27.5 %) and 30 °C (15 %) shares reflect minor uncertainty in shower timing and wind patterns that could alter the exact minimum. No major cooling mechanisms appear in the short-term outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$4,094Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance for August 11 show persistent hot, humid conditions with overnight lows expected near 28–29 °C, driven by high dew points, substantial cloud cover, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. These align with August climatology of 26–28 °C minima and the seasonal forecast of normal-to-above-normal temperatures under ongoing ENSO influences. Recent days, including a 26 °C low on August 6 and daily readings in the upper 20s, have reinforced trader consensus around 29 °C (52.5 % implied probability) as the leading outcome, while the modest 28 °C (27.5 %) and 30 °C (15 %) shares reflect minor uncertainty in shower timing and wind patterns that could alter the exact minimum. No major cooling mechanisms appear in the short-term outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,094Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance for August 11 show persistent hot, humid conditions with overnight lows expected near 28–29 °C, driven by high dew points, substantial cloud cover, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. These align with August climatology of 26–28 °C minima and the seasonal forecast of normal-to-above-normal temperatures under ongoing ENSO influences. Recent days, including a 26 °C low on August 6 and daily readings in the upper 20s, have reinforced trader consensus around 29 °C (52.5 % implied probability) as the leading outcome, while the modest 28 °C (27.5 %) and 30 °C (15 %) shares reflect minor uncertainty in shower timing and wind patterns that could alter the exact minimum. No major cooling mechanisms appear in the short-term outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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