Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show high pressure building over southern England, driving a warm spell with daytime highs near 29°C and supporting overnight minimum temperatures in London around 16–18°C for August 11. This positioning stems from reduced radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow advecting milder air, which limits typical nocturnal drops below seasonal averages of about 14°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 17°C as the daily low, aligns with ensemble guidance showing minimal cooling potential, though small model spreads on cloud cover or frontal timing could shift outcomes toward 15°C or 19°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 11. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 11. August?
17°C 44%
16°C 37%
18°C 17%
15°C 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
37%
17°C
44%
18°C
17%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 44%
16°C 37%
18°C 17%
15°C 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$25 Vol.
1%
13°C
$28 Vol.
2%
14°C
$28 Vol.
2%
15°C
$20 Vol.
7%
16°C
$580 Vol.
37%
17°C
$126 Vol.
44%
18°C
$33 Vol.
17%
19°C
$33 Vol.
5%
20°C
$33 Vol.
2%
21°C
$20 Vol.
1%
22°C oder höher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show high pressure building over southern England, driving a warm spell with daytime highs near 29°C and supporting overnight minimum temperatures in London around 16–18°C for August 11. This positioning stems from reduced radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow advecting milder air, which limits typical nocturnal drops below seasonal averages of about 14°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 17°C as the daily low, aligns with ensemble guidance showing minimal cooling potential, though small model spreads on cloud cover or frontal timing could shift outcomes toward 15°C or 19°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$960Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show high pressure building over southern England, driving a warm spell with daytime highs near 29°C and supporting overnight minimum temperatures in London around 16–18°C for August 11. This positioning stems from reduced radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow advecting milder air, which limits typical nocturnal drops below seasonal averages of about 14°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 17°C as the daily low, aligns with ensemble guidance showing minimal cooling potential, though small model spreads on cloud cover or frontal timing could shift outcomes toward 15°C or 19°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$960Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show high pressure building over southern England, driving a warm spell with daytime highs near 29°C and supporting overnight minimum temperatures in London around 16–18°C for August 11. This positioning stems from reduced radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow advecting milder air, which limits typical nocturnal drops below seasonal averages of about 14°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 17°C as the daily low, aligns with ensemble guidance showing minimal cooling potential, though small model spreads on cloud cover or frontal timing could shift outcomes toward 15°C or 19°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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