Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 10 points to a minimum of 17°C under sunny conditions with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning closely with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes. An unusually warm summer featuring multiple heatwaves has produced minimum temperatures running 1.5°C above the long-term average, with mild nights sustained by lingering high pressure and warmer-than-normal air masses. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential overnight due to these patterns, though model spreads and any last-minute frontal shifts could still adjust the realized low. Traders appear to weight the elevated baseline and current guidance heavily when pricing the narrow 18–19°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 10. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 10. August?
19°C 49%
18°C 34%
20°C 13%
16°C 7.0%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C
34%
19°C
49%
20°C
13%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 49%
18°C 34%
20°C 13%
16°C 7.0%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
13°C or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$456 Vol.
1%
16°C
$218 Vol.
7%
17°C
$229 Vol.
5%
18°C
$3,256 Vol.
34%
19°C
$613 Vol.
49%
20°C
$297 Vol.
13%
21°C
$165 Vol.
1%
22°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
23°C oder höher
$208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 10 points to a minimum of 17°C under sunny conditions with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning closely with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes. An unusually warm summer featuring multiple heatwaves has produced minimum temperatures running 1.5°C above the long-term average, with mild nights sustained by lingering high pressure and warmer-than-normal air masses. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential overnight due to these patterns, though model spreads and any last-minute frontal shifts could still adjust the realized low. Traders appear to weight the elevated baseline and current guidance heavily when pricing the narrow 18–19°C band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6,021Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 10 points to a minimum of 17°C under sunny conditions with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning closely with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes. An unusually warm summer featuring multiple heatwaves has produced minimum temperatures running 1.5°C above the long-term average, with mild nights sustained by lingering high pressure and warmer-than-normal air masses. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential overnight due to these patterns, though model spreads and any last-minute frontal shifts could still adjust the realized low. Traders appear to weight the elevated baseline and current guidance heavily when pricing the narrow 18–19°C band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,021Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 10 points to a minimum of 17°C under sunny conditions with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning closely with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes. An unusually warm summer featuring multiple heatwaves has produced minimum temperatures running 1.5°C above the long-term average, with mild nights sustained by lingering high pressure and warmer-than-normal air masses. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential overnight due to these patterns, though model spreads and any last-minute frontal shifts could still adjust the realized low. Traders appear to weight the elevated baseline and current guidance heavily when pricing the narrow 18–19°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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