Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 8. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 8. August?
28°C 100%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 Vol.
$104,225 Vol.
8. Aug. 2026
22°C oder darunter
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Ja
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
28°C 100%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 Vol.
$104,225 Vol.
8. Aug. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$636 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$1,256 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$4,298 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$11,620 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$6,955 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$16,235 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$29,034 Vol.
Ja
29°C
$27,221 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$5,393 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$938 Vol.
Nein
32°C oder höher
$641 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$104,225Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$104,225Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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