**The market's near-certain 28°C outcome reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading for August 8, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold.** Persistent warm conditions under normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures—driven by long-term climate warming trends and prevailing ENSO influences—produced overnight lows in the upper 20s°C, consistent with August climatology and recent daily observations. Model consensus and real-time station data showed limited variability, with no significant cooling from cloud cover, rainfall, or wind shifts to push the minimum lower. Trader positioning incorporates the Observatory's standardized measurement protocols and historical precedent for minimal day-to-day fluctuations during peak summer. Resolution hinges on finalized daily extract data; only an unreported calibration error or boundary revision could alter the outcome, both statistically improbable given multiple corroborating stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 8. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 8. August?
28°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
$103,306 Vol.
$103,306 Vol.
8. Aug. 2026
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
$103,306 Vol.
$103,306 Vol.
8. Aug. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$598 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,214 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,298 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11,517 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,954 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15,715 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$28,999 Vol.
100%
29°C
$27,058 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,374 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The market's near-certain 28°C outcome reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading for August 8, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold.** Persistent warm conditions under normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures—driven by long-term climate warming trends and prevailing ENSO influences—produced overnight lows in the upper 20s°C, consistent with August climatology and recent daily observations. Model consensus and real-time station data showed limited variability, with no significant cooling from cloud cover, rainfall, or wind shifts to push the minimum lower. Trader positioning incorporates the Observatory's standardized measurement protocols and historical precedent for minimal day-to-day fluctuations during peak summer. Resolution hinges on finalized daily extract data; only an unreported calibration error or boundary revision could alter the outcome, both statistically improbable given multiple corroborating stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$103,306Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The market's near-certain 28°C outcome reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading for August 8, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold.** Persistent warm conditions under normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures—driven by long-term climate warming trends and prevailing ENSO influences—produced overnight lows in the upper 20s°C, consistent with August climatology and recent daily observations. Model consensus and real-time station data showed limited variability, with no significant cooling from cloud cover, rainfall, or wind shifts to push the minimum lower. Trader positioning incorporates the Observatory's standardized measurement protocols and historical precedent for minimal day-to-day fluctuations during peak summer. Resolution hinges on finalized daily extract data; only an unreported calibration error or boundary revision could alter the outcome, both statistically improbable given multiple corroborating stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$103,306Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market's near-certain 28°C outcome reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading for August 8, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold.** Persistent warm conditions under normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures—driven by long-term climate warming trends and prevailing ENSO influences—produced overnight lows in the upper 20s°C, consistent with August climatology and recent daily observations. Model consensus and real-time station data showed limited variability, with no significant cooling from cloud cover, rainfall, or wind shifts to push the minimum lower. Trader positioning incorporates the Observatory's standardized measurement protocols and historical precedent for minimal day-to-day fluctuations during peak summer. Resolution hinges on finalized daily extract data; only an unreported calibration error or boundary revision could alter the outcome, both statistically improbable given multiple corroborating stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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