Recent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a mild overnight period for Buenos Aires on September 25, with minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15°C under a building high-pressure ridge and a shift to lighter southerly winds after earlier northerly advection. Radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and dew points near 11–13°C will set the floor, while any residual cloud cover or wind could limit drops below 12°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the sub-12°C and above-20°C outcomes because model spreads and timing of the wind shift introduce meaningful uncertainty this close to the observation window, with final NWS-equivalent guidance and real-time station data expected to resolve the exact low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 25. September?
21°C oder höher 93%
11°C oder darunter 44%
14°C 22%
15°C 22%
11°C oder darunter
44%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C
16%
20°C
13%
21°C oder höher
93%
21°C oder höher 93%
11°C oder darunter 44%
14°C 22%
15°C 22%
11°C oder darunter
44%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C
16%
20°C
13%
21°C oder höher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a mild overnight period for Buenos Aires on September 25, with minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15°C under a building high-pressure ridge and a shift to lighter southerly winds after earlier northerly advection. Radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and dew points near 11–13°C will set the floor, while any residual cloud cover or wind could limit drops below 12°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the sub-12°C and above-20°C outcomes because model spreads and timing of the wind shift introduce meaningful uncertainty this close to the observation window, with final NWS-equivalent guidance and real-time station data expected to resolve the exact low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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