The closely matched probabilities around 24–27°C reflect substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in ensemble model guidance for Beijing’s maximum temperature on September 26. Numerical weather prediction runs show a spread driven by the evolving position of the East Asian trough and possible weak cold-air intrusions from the north, which could limit daytime heating under variable cloud cover or allow clearer skies and stronger insolation. Late-September climatology places the city’s average high near 25°C with a typical interquartile range of 3–4°C, and current observational trends from regional stations align with this transitional autumn pattern. Updated model consensus from the next ECMWF and CMA runs will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 26. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 26. September?
25°C 22%
26°C 22%
27°C 22%
24°C 22%
NEU
NEU
26. Sep. 2026
20°C oder niedriger
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
12%
29°C
8%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 22%
26°C 22%
27°C 22%
24°C 22%
NEU
NEU
26. Sep. 2026
20°C oder niedriger
$85 Vol.
2%
21°C
$22 Vol.
4%
22°C
$44 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$7 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities around 24–27°C reflect substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in ensemble model guidance for Beijing’s maximum temperature on September 26. Numerical weather prediction runs show a spread driven by the evolving position of the East Asian trough and possible weak cold-air intrusions from the north, which could limit daytime heating under variable cloud cover or allow clearer skies and stronger insolation. Late-September climatology places the city’s average high near 25°C with a typical interquartile range of 3–4°C, and current observational trends from regional stations align with this transitional autumn pattern. Updated model consensus from the next ECMWF and CMA runs will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$143Enddatum
26. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities around 24–27°C reflect substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in ensemble model guidance for Beijing’s maximum temperature on September 26. Numerical weather prediction runs show a spread driven by the evolving position of the East Asian trough and possible weak cold-air intrusions from the north, which could limit daytime heating under variable cloud cover or allow clearer skies and stronger insolation. Late-September climatology places the city’s average high near 25°C with a typical interquartile range of 3–4°C, and current observational trends from regional stations align with this transitional autumn pattern. Updated model consensus from the next ECMWF and CMA runs will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$143Enddatum
26. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...The closely matched probabilities around 24–27°C reflect substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in ensemble model guidance for Beijing’s maximum temperature on September 26. Numerical weather prediction runs show a spread driven by the evolving position of the East Asian trough and possible weak cold-air intrusions from the north, which could limit daytime heating under variable cloud cover or allow clearer skies and stronger insolation. Late-September climatology places the city’s average high near 25°C with a typical interquartile range of 3–4°C, and current observational trends from regional stations align with this transitional autumn pattern. Updated model consensus from the next ECMWF and CMA runs will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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