Trader sentiment on Buenos Aires minimum temperature for September 24 shows tight competition between a cold outbreak (7°C or below at 47%) and milder conditions (17°C or higher at 42.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range models. Regional meteorological guidance points to a possible frontal boundary and variable low-level winds that could drive sharp overnight cooling or retain warmer maritime air, with cloud cover and subsidence patterns as key differentiators. Historical September variability in the region adds context, as rapid shifts often hinge on the exact timing of any system passage. New model runs and observational updates from Argentine monitoring agencies are expected soon and will likely resolve much of the spread before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 24. September?
7°C oder darunter 86%
17°C oder höher 85%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
7°C oder darunter
86%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C oder höher
85%
7°C oder darunter 86%
17°C oder höher 85%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
7°C oder darunter
86%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C oder höher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Buenos Aires minimum temperature for September 24 shows tight competition between a cold outbreak (7°C or below at 47%) and milder conditions (17°C or higher at 42.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range models. Regional meteorological guidance points to a possible frontal boundary and variable low-level winds that could drive sharp overnight cooling or retain warmer maritime air, with cloud cover and subsidence patterns as key differentiators. Historical September variability in the region adds context, as rapid shifts often hinge on the exact timing of any system passage. New model runs and observational updates from Argentine monitoring agencies are expected soon and will likely resolve much of the spread before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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