Current forecasts from ECMWF and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Buenos Aires on September 23, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds limiting further drops. This places the most likely outcome in the 7–9°C range, yet market-implied odds remain split between 3°C or below (45%) and 13°C or higher (40.5%) because small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias can alter the overnight low by several degrees. Late-September climatology shows typical minima of 8–12°C, but recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than earlier guidance, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range temperature forecasts to evolving synoptic patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 23. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 23. September?
13°C oder höher 81%
3°C oder niedriger 45%
10°C 38%
11°C 37%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
3°C oder niedriger
45%
4°C
22%
5°C
22%
6°C
22%
7°C
21%
8°C
20%
9°C
35%
10°C
38%
11°C
37%
12°C
13%
13°C oder höher
81%
13°C oder höher 81%
3°C oder niedriger 45%
10°C 38%
11°C 37%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
3°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
45%
4°C
$0 Vol.
22%
5°C
$0 Vol.
22%
6°C
$0 Vol.
22%
7°C
$0 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
20%
9°C
$30 Vol.
35%
10°C
$50 Vol.
38%
11°C
$40 Vol.
37%
12°C
$100 Vol.
13%
13°C oder höher
$100 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ECMWF and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Buenos Aires on September 23, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds limiting further drops. This places the most likely outcome in the 7–9°C range, yet market-implied odds remain split between 3°C or below (45%) and 13°C or higher (40.5%) because small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias can alter the overnight low by several degrees. Late-September climatology shows typical minima of 8–12°C, but recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than earlier guidance, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range temperature forecasts to evolving synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$320Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ECMWF and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Buenos Aires on September 23, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds limiting further drops. This places the most likely outcome in the 7–9°C range, yet market-implied odds remain split between 3°C or below (45%) and 13°C or higher (40.5%) because small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias can alter the overnight low by several degrees. Late-September climatology shows typical minima of 8–12°C, but recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than earlier guidance, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range temperature forecasts to evolving synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$320Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from ECMWF and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Buenos Aires on September 23, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds limiting further drops. This places the most likely outcome in the 7–9°C range, yet market-implied odds remain split between 3°C or below (45%) and 13°C or higher (40.5%) because small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias can alter the overnight low by several degrees. Late-September climatology shows typical minima of 8–12°C, but recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than earlier guidance, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range temperature forecasts to evolving synoptic patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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