Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a cool, unsettled pattern over Warsaw on September 24, with daytime highs likely limited to the low-to-mid teens Celsius by persistent westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 13–15°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak timing and intensity amid model spread on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum. Trader consensus captures this narrow scientific range through real-capital positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 24. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 24. September?
14°C 37%
15°C 28%
13°C 23%
16°C 17%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
9°C oder niedriger
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
16%
12°C
11%
13°C
23%
14°C
25%
15°C
28%
16°C
12%
17°C
8%
18°C
9%
19°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 37%
15°C 28%
13°C 23%
16°C 17%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
9°C oder niedriger
$20 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
4%
11°C
$0 Vol.
16%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$3 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$21 Vol.
12%
17°C
$7 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a cool, unsettled pattern over Warsaw on September 24, with daytime highs likely limited to the low-to-mid teens Celsius by persistent westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 13–15°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak timing and intensity amid model spread on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum. Trader consensus captures this narrow scientific range through real-capital positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$51Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a cool, unsettled pattern over Warsaw on September 24, with daytime highs likely limited to the low-to-mid teens Celsius by persistent westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 13–15°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak timing and intensity amid model spread on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum. Trader consensus captures this narrow scientific range through real-capital positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$51Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a cool, unsettled pattern over Warsaw on September 24, with daytime highs likely limited to the low-to-mid teens Celsius by persistent westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 13–15°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak timing and intensity amid model spread on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum. Trader consensus captures this narrow scientific range through real-capital positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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