Recent atmospheric conditions featuring a deeper marine layer and persistent onshore flow tied to a weak cutoff low are suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms in San Francisco. National Weather Service guidance indicates a high near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the market-implied 39.5% consensus on 66-67°F as the likeliest outcome. Subtle variations in marine layer depth, wind strength, and afternoon clearing could shift results into the adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F ranges, where traders see meaningful uncertainty. New model runs and NWS updates will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 21. September?
66-67°F 40%
20-21 °C 29%
64-65°F 22%
70-71°F 7%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
61°F oder darunter
1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
40%
20-21 °C
29%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80°F oder höher
1%
66-67°F 40%
20-21 °C 29%
64-65°F 22%
70-71°F 7%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
61°F oder darunter
$10 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$54 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$981 Vol.
22%
66-67°F
$546 Vol.
40%
20-21 °C
$576 Vol.
29%
70-71°F
$453 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$62 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$123 Vol.
1%
80°F oder höher
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions featuring a deeper marine layer and persistent onshore flow tied to a weak cutoff low are suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms in San Francisco. National Weather Service guidance indicates a high near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the market-implied 39.5% consensus on 66-67°F as the likeliest outcome. Subtle variations in marine layer depth, wind strength, and afternoon clearing could shift results into the adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F ranges, where traders see meaningful uncertainty. New model runs and NWS updates will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,832Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions featuring a deeper marine layer and persistent onshore flow tied to a weak cutoff low are suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms in San Francisco. National Weather Service guidance indicates a high near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the market-implied 39.5% consensus on 66-67°F as the likeliest outcome. Subtle variations in marine layer depth, wind strength, and afternoon clearing could shift results into the adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F ranges, where traders see meaningful uncertainty. New model runs and NWS updates will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,832Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions featuring a deeper marine layer and persistent onshore flow tied to a weak cutoff low are suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms in San Francisco. National Weather Service guidance indicates a high near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the market-implied 39.5% consensus on 66-67°F as the likeliest outcome. Subtle variations in marine layer depth, wind strength, and afternoon clearing could shift results into the adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F ranges, where traders see meaningful uncertainty. New model runs and NWS updates will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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