Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight persistent northeast monsoon influence and an overlying anticyclone sustaining fine, dry, and hot conditions through September 20, with a projected daytime maximum of 27–32°C under east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances. This setup, featuring sunny periods and isolated late showers triggered by daytime heating, anchors trader consensus around 32°C as the most probable peak. Key variables include minor shifts in model guidance on exact maximum temperatures, potential for localized convective activity, urban heat effects, and any late adjustments to wind patterns or humidity that could cap readings at 31°C or allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 20. September?
32°C 34%
31°C 21%
34°C 14%
33°C 12%
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
21%
32°C
34%
33°C
12%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 21%
34°C 14%
33°C 12%
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
21%
32°C
34%
33°C
12%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight persistent northeast monsoon influence and an overlying anticyclone sustaining fine, dry, and hot conditions through September 20, with a projected daytime maximum of 27–32°C under east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances. This setup, featuring sunny periods and isolated late showers triggered by daytime heating, anchors trader consensus around 32°C as the most probable peak. Key variables include minor shifts in model guidance on exact maximum temperatures, potential for localized convective activity, urban heat effects, and any late adjustments to wind patterns or humidity that could cap readings at 31°C or allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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