Trader consensus centers on a 33°C high for Shenzhen on September 20, with 32–34°C capturing most implied probability, as regional forecasts from meteorological models indicate typical late-September subtropical conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southerly winds, and afternoon convective activity. Current observations show daytime peaks near 31–32°C amid high humidity, with ensemble guidance suggesting limited intensification potential before any showers develop. Historical September averages around 31°C provide context, though model consensus and short-range updates could shift resolution if cloud cover or precipitation timing alters peak readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 20. September?
33°C 43%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 7%
$19,376 Vol.
$19,376 Vol.
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
28%
33°C
43%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 7%
$19,376 Vol.
$19,376 Vol.
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
28%
33°C
43%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 33°C high for Shenzhen on September 20, with 32–34°C capturing most implied probability, as regional forecasts from meteorological models indicate typical late-September subtropical conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southerly winds, and afternoon convective activity. Current observations show daytime peaks near 31–32°C amid high humidity, with ensemble guidance suggesting limited intensification potential before any showers develop. Historical September averages around 31°C provide context, though model consensus and short-range updates could shift resolution if cloud cover or precipitation timing alters peak readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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