Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high of 30–32°C for Shenzhen on September 21, driven by moderate diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity from regional moisture are expected to moderate peak values, while the timing of any convection will determine whether insolation allows a brief spike toward 33°C or keeps readings near 30°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in precipitation and cloud cover creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32°C. Updated runs and official observations the morning of the 21st will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 21. September?
31°C 32%
32°C 26%
33°C 21%
30°C 16%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
32%
32°C
26%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C oder höher
2%
31°C 32%
32°C 26%
33°C 21%
30°C 16%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
$111 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$394 Vol.
3%
30°C
$942 Vol.
16%
31°C
$395 Vol.
32%
32°C
$838 Vol.
26%
33°C
$1,284 Vol.
21%
34°C
$691 Vol.
7%
35°C oder höher
$438 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high of 30–32°C for Shenzhen on September 21, driven by moderate diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity from regional moisture are expected to moderate peak values, while the timing of any convection will determine whether insolation allows a brief spike toward 33°C or keeps readings near 30°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in precipitation and cloud cover creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32°C. Updated runs and official observations the morning of the 21st will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$5,741Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high of 30–32°C for Shenzhen on September 21, driven by moderate diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity from regional moisture are expected to moderate peak values, while the timing of any convection will determine whether insolation allows a brief spike toward 33°C or keeps readings near 30°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in precipitation and cloud cover creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32°C. Updated runs and official observations the morning of the 21st will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,741Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high of 30–32°C for Shenzhen on September 21, driven by moderate diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity from regional moisture are expected to moderate peak values, while the timing of any convection will determine whether insolation allows a brief spike toward 33°C or keeps readings near 30°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in precipitation and cloud cover creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32°C. Updated runs and official observations the morning of the 21st will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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