**Official forecasts from MetService and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on 18 September under clearing conditions after today’s rain and southerly change.** Northerly winds are expected to ease, with increasing fine spells and limited cloud cover allowing moderate spring insolation but no strong warm advection. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (59.5% implied probability) and 14°C (22.5%), while the lower odds on 16°C (16%) reflect the absence of factors that would produce above-average warmth relative to September climatology. Minor model spread in timing of clearance or residual showers accounts for the small probabilities on adjacent outcomes; fresh guidance from MetService or updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 18. September?
15°C 60%
14°C 23%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
NEU
$10,771 Vol.
NEU
$10,771 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
9°C oder niedriger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
23%
15°C
60%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 60%
14°C 23%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
NEU
$10,771 Vol.
NEU
$10,771 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
9°C oder niedriger
$253 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$586 Vol.
1%
13°C
$865 Vol.
3%
14°C
$1,555 Vol.
23%
15°C
$3,094 Vol.
60%
16°C
$2,246 Vol.
16%
17°C
$692 Vol.
2%
18°C
$568 Vol.
1%
19°C oder höher
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on 18 September under clearing conditions after today’s rain and southerly change.**
Northerly winds are expected to ease, with increasing fine spells and limited cloud cover allowing moderate spring insolation but no strong warm advection. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (59.5% implied probability) and 14°C (22.5%), while the lower odds on 16°C (16%) reflect the absence of factors that would produce above-average warmth relative to September climatology. Minor model spread in timing of clearance or residual showers accounts for the small probabilities on adjacent outcomes; fresh guidance from MetService or updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$10,771Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on 18 September under clearing conditions after today’s rain and southerly change.**
Northerly winds are expected to ease, with increasing fine spells and limited cloud cover allowing moderate spring insolation but no strong warm advection. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (59.5% implied probability) and 14°C (22.5%), while the lower odds on 16°C (16%) reflect the absence of factors that would produce above-average warmth relative to September climatology. Minor model spread in timing of clearance or residual showers accounts for the small probabilities on adjacent outcomes; fresh guidance from MetService or updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,771Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from MetService and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on 18 September under clearing conditions after today’s rain and southerly change.** Northerly winds are expected to ease, with increasing fine spells and limited cloud cover allowing moderate spring insolation but no strong warm advection. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (59.5% implied probability) and 14°C (22.5%), while the lower odds on 16°C (16%) reflect the absence of factors that would produce above-average warmth relative to September climatology. Minor model spread in timing of clearance or residual showers accounts for the small probabilities on adjacent outcomes; fresh guidance from MetService or updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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