**Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo high of 23–24 °C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a strengthening northerly flow.** Cooler, drier air advecting from higher latitudes under rising surface pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) is expected to suppress daytime heating, while moderate northeast winds of 10–16 mph enhance mixing and limit boundary-layer warming. Forecast soundings show dew points falling into the mid-teens Celsius, reducing the potential for strong insolation even if partial clearing occurs in the afternoon. Historical mid-September climatology for Tokyo favors highs near 27 °C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing frontal boundary—shifts probabilities firmly toward the 23–24 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the exact peak as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. September?
24°C 30%
23°C 25%
25°C 17%
21°C 15%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
15%
22°C
13%
23°C
25%
24°C
30%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C oder höher
1%
24°C 30%
23°C 25%
25°C 17%
21°C 15%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$32 Vol.
13%
23°C
$53 Vol.
25%
24°C
$151 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C oder höher
$161 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo high of 23–24 °C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a strengthening northerly flow.**
Cooler, drier air advecting from higher latitudes under rising surface pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) is expected to suppress daytime heating, while moderate northeast winds of 10–16 mph enhance mixing and limit boundary-layer warming. Forecast soundings show dew points falling into the mid-teens Celsius, reducing the potential for strong insolation even if partial clearing occurs in the afternoon. Historical mid-September climatology for Tokyo favors highs near 27 °C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing frontal boundary—shifts probabilities firmly toward the 23–24 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the exact peak as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$397Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo high of 23–24 °C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a strengthening northerly flow.**
Cooler, drier air advecting from higher latitudes under rising surface pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) is expected to suppress daytime heating, while moderate northeast winds of 10–16 mph enhance mixing and limit boundary-layer warming. Forecast soundings show dew points falling into the mid-teens Celsius, reducing the potential for strong insolation even if partial clearing occurs in the afternoon. Historical mid-September climatology for Tokyo favors highs near 27 °C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing frontal boundary—shifts probabilities firmly toward the 23–24 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the exact peak as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$397Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo high of 23–24 °C on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a strengthening northerly flow.** Cooler, drier air advecting from higher latitudes under rising surface pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) is expected to suppress daytime heating, while moderate northeast winds of 10–16 mph enhance mixing and limit boundary-layer warming. Forecast soundings show dew points falling into the mid-teens Celsius, reducing the potential for strong insolation even if partial clearing occurs in the afternoon. Historical mid-September climatology for Tokyo favors highs near 27 °C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a passing frontal boundary—shifts probabilities firmly toward the 23–24 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the exact peak as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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