Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25°C for Incheon on September 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal cooling from summer peaks, combined with stable high pressure and low humidity around 45-50%, limits warming potential while preventing sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September averages near 24-26°C provide context, and the narrow spread across 24-26°C options reflects model consensus with minimal divergence. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine steering patterns or cloud cover before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. September?
25°C 52%
26°C 26%
24°C 17%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C
52%
26°C
26%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C oder höher
1%
25°C 52%
26°C 26%
24°C 17%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
$132 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$398 Vol.
1%
22°C
$344 Vol.
1%
23°C
$116 Vol.
4%
24°C
$253 Vol.
17%
25°C
$787 Vol.
52%
26°C
$937 Vol.
26%
27°C
$88 Vol.
5%
28°C
$67 Vol.
3%
29°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25°C for Incheon on September 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal cooling from summer peaks, combined with stable high pressure and low humidity around 45-50%, limits warming potential while preventing sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September averages near 24-26°C provide context, and the narrow spread across 24-26°C options reflects model consensus with minimal divergence. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine steering patterns or cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$3,263Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25°C for Incheon on September 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal cooling from summer peaks, combined with stable high pressure and low humidity around 45-50%, limits warming potential while preventing sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September averages near 24-26°C provide context, and the narrow spread across 24-26°C options reflects model consensus with minimal divergence. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine steering patterns or cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,263Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25°C for Incheon on September 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal cooling from summer peaks, combined with stable high pressure and low humidity around 45-50%, limits warming potential while preventing sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September averages near 24-26°C provide context, and the narrow spread across 24-26°C options reflects model consensus with minimal divergence. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine steering patterns or cloud cover before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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