Latest forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a high near 26°C for Toronto on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10-15 km/h, supporting the market's leading 50.5% implied probability on that outcome. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-20s Celsius as cloud cover limits stronger warming, consistent with seasonal norms where the 1991–2020 average high is 22.6°C. Minor model spreads and recent updates showing slightly cooler boundary-layer conditions have kept 25°C and 27°C as secondary options at 19.5% and 24.5%, while probabilities for 28°C or higher remain low amid limited moisture and stable high pressure. Official observations from Environment Canada will resolve the market once finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 13. September?
26°C 51%
27°C 25%
25°C 20%
28°C 4%
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
20%
26°C
51%
27°C
25%
28°C
4%
29°C oder höher
2%
26°C 51%
27°C 25%
25°C 20%
28°C 4%
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
20%
26°C
51%
27°C
25%
28°C
4%
29°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a high near 26°C for Toronto on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10-15 km/h, supporting the market's leading 50.5% implied probability on that outcome. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-20s Celsius as cloud cover limits stronger warming, consistent with seasonal norms where the 1991–2020 average high is 22.6°C. Minor model spreads and recent updates showing slightly cooler boundary-layer conditions have kept 25°C and 27°C as secondary options at 19.5% and 24.5%, while probabilities for 28°C or higher remain low amid limited moisture and stable high pressure. Official observations from Environment Canada will resolve the market once finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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