**Forecasts from multiple models and official guidance point to a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover, a moderate southwesterly flow, and scattered light rain or drizzle have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the seasonal average high of 19.5°C while preventing stronger warming. Hourly observations and updated runs show a peak near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling sets in, with no significant model divergence favoring 23°C or higher. Traders have aligned probabilities with this consensus, reflecting real-time data from agencies tracking the stable maritime air mass and limited insolation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 12. September?
21°C 57%
22°C 29%
20°C 10%
23°C 2%
$19,203 Vol.
$19,203 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
10%
21°C
57%
22°C
29%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 57%
22°C 29%
20°C 10%
23°C 2%
$19,203 Vol.
$19,203 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
$93 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,199 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,841 Vol.
10%
21°C
$4,949 Vol.
57%
22°C
$5,636 Vol.
29%
23°C
$2,365 Vol.
2%
24°C
$553 Vol.
<1%
25°C oder höher
$170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple models and official guidance point to a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover, a moderate southwesterly flow, and scattered light rain or drizzle have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the seasonal average high of 19.5°C while preventing stronger warming. Hourly observations and updated runs show a peak near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling sets in, with no significant model divergence favoring 23°C or higher. Traders have aligned probabilities with this consensus, reflecting real-time data from agencies tracking the stable maritime air mass and limited insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$19,203Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple models and official guidance point to a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover, a moderate southwesterly flow, and scattered light rain or drizzle have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the seasonal average high of 19.5°C while preventing stronger warming. Hourly observations and updated runs show a peak near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling sets in, with no significant model divergence favoring 23°C or higher. Traders have aligned probabilities with this consensus, reflecting real-time data from agencies tracking the stable maritime air mass and limited insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,203Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple models and official guidance point to a daily maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover, a moderate southwesterly flow, and scattered light rain or drizzle have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the seasonal average high of 19.5°C while preventing stronger warming. Hourly observations and updated runs show a peak near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling sets in, with no significant model divergence favoring 23°C or higher. Traders have aligned probabilities with this consensus, reflecting real-time data from agencies tracking the stable maritime air mass and limited insolation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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