Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and regional models indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 13, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 m/s, and a chance of showers that could suppress peak heating. These conditions align closely with the historical average high of 19.5°C for the date at Schiphol, while any breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation would favor the slightly warmer outcome. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, as model consensus shows limited potential for either significant warming above 22°C or cooling below 19°C given the stable pressure pattern and modest diurnal range typical of mid-September maritime air. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 13. September?
21°C 47%
20°C 47%
22°C 5%
19°C 5%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
47%
21°C
47%
22°C
5%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 47%
20°C 47%
22°C 5%
19°C 5%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$137 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$218 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,408 Vol.
5%
20°C
$2,362 Vol.
47%
21°C
$2,553 Vol.
47%
22°C
$1,512 Vol.
5%
23°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and regional models indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 13, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 m/s, and a chance of showers that could suppress peak heating. These conditions align closely with the historical average high of 19.5°C for the date at Schiphol, while any breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation would favor the slightly warmer outcome. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, as model consensus shows limited potential for either significant warming above 22°C or cooling below 19°C given the stable pressure pattern and modest diurnal range typical of mid-September maritime air. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$9,771Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and regional models indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 13, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 m/s, and a chance of showers that could suppress peak heating. These conditions align closely with the historical average high of 19.5°C for the date at Schiphol, while any breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation would favor the slightly warmer outcome. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, as model consensus shows limited potential for either significant warming above 22°C or cooling below 19°C given the stable pressure pattern and modest diurnal range typical of mid-September maritime air. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,771Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and regional models indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 13, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 m/s, and a chance of showers that could suppress peak heating. These conditions align closely with the historical average high of 19.5°C for the date at Schiphol, while any breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation would favor the slightly warmer outcome. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, as model consensus shows limited potential for either significant warming above 22°C or cooling below 19°C given the stable pressure pattern and modest diurnal range typical of mid-September maritime air. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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