Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the Wellington region indicate a daily maximum of 14°C on September 12, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and seasonal spring temperatures near climatological averages of 13°C. This consensus reflects real-time data from surface stations showing afternoon peaks aligning precisely with that threshold rather than higher or lower values. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 14°C incorporates the limited remaining daylight and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce upside potential from unexpected warming. A shift in steering patterns or increased insolation from clearing skies could still push readings to 15°C or above before resolution, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 12. September?
14°C 100.0%
8°C oder niedriger <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$63,286 Vol.
$63,286 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13 °C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C oder niedriger <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$63,286 Vol.
$63,286 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$905 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$10,311 Vol.
<1%
13 °C
$16,700 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13,314 Vol.
100%
15°C
$13,094 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,280 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,566 Vol.
<1%
18°C oder höher
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the Wellington region indicate a daily maximum of 14°C on September 12, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and seasonal spring temperatures near climatological averages of 13°C. This consensus reflects real-time data from surface stations showing afternoon peaks aligning precisely with that threshold rather than higher or lower values. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 14°C incorporates the limited remaining daylight and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce upside potential from unexpected warming. A shift in steering patterns or increased insolation from clearing skies could still push readings to 15°C or above before resolution, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$63,286Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the Wellington region indicate a daily maximum of 14°C on September 12, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and seasonal spring temperatures near climatological averages of 13°C. This consensus reflects real-time data from surface stations showing afternoon peaks aligning precisely with that threshold rather than higher or lower values. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 14°C incorporates the limited remaining daylight and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce upside potential from unexpected warming. A shift in steering patterns or increased insolation from clearing skies could still push readings to 15°C or above before resolution, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$63,286Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the Wellington region indicate a daily maximum of 14°C on September 12, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and seasonal spring temperatures near climatological averages of 13°C. This consensus reflects real-time data from surface stations showing afternoon peaks aligning precisely with that threshold rather than higher or lower values. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 14°C incorporates the limited remaining daylight and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce upside potential from unexpected warming. A shift in steering patterns or increased insolation from clearing skies could still push readings to 15°C or above before resolution, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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