Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models point to a daytime high near 32°C for Singapore on September 12, aligning with the market's leading 53% implied probability for that outcome. Singapore's equatorial climate produces narrow temperature ranges, with September averages around 31.6°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions featuring southeasterly winds, scattered afternoon showers, and variable cloud cover that typically caps peaks. Current dry trends and moderate haze from regional fires may slightly elevate readings, yet expected thundery showers on the day support the 27% odds on 33°C while limiting upside risk. Official updates from Singapore's NEA and refined model runs ahead of the date will refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 12. September?
32°C 53%
33°C 28%
31°C 15%
30°C 4%
28°C oder darunter
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
53%
33°C
28%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 28%
31°C 15%
30°C 4%
28°C oder darunter
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
53%
33°C
28%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models point to a daytime high near 32°C for Singapore on September 12, aligning with the market's leading 53% implied probability for that outcome. Singapore's equatorial climate produces narrow temperature ranges, with September averages around 31.6°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions featuring southeasterly winds, scattered afternoon showers, and variable cloud cover that typically caps peaks. Current dry trends and moderate haze from regional fires may slightly elevate readings, yet expected thundery showers on the day support the 27% odds on 33°C while limiting upside risk. Official updates from Singapore's NEA and refined model runs ahead of the date will refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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