Recent model consensus points to a high near 18–20°C in Munich on September 10 as a cool air mass follows Wednesday’s rain and thunderstorms. Northeasterly flow and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating after the hot spell that peaked above 30°C on September 8. Official guidance from sources such as the German Weather Service and global ensembles shows only modest diurnal recovery, keeping maximum temperatures several degrees below the 20.5°C long-term average for the date. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities concentrated on 19°C and 20°C outcomes amid limited upside potential from clearer breaks or stronger southerly winds. Updated short-range runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud and wind details that determine whether the high settles closer to 18°C or edges toward 21°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 10. September?
19°C 34%
20°C 27%
18°C 20%
21°C 12%
13°C oder darunter
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18°C
20%
19°C
34%
20°C
27%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C oder höher
3%
19°C 34%
20°C 27%
18°C 20%
21°C 12%
13°C oder darunter
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18°C
20%
19°C
34%
20°C
27%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a high near 18–20°C in Munich on September 10 as a cool air mass follows Wednesday’s rain and thunderstorms. Northeasterly flow and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating after the hot spell that peaked above 30°C on September 8. Official guidance from sources such as the German Weather Service and global ensembles shows only modest diurnal recovery, keeping maximum temperatures several degrees below the 20.5°C long-term average for the date. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities concentrated on 19°C and 20°C outcomes amid limited upside potential from clearer breaks or stronger southerly winds. Updated short-range runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud and wind details that determine whether the high settles closer to 18°C or edges toward 21°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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