Recent extended-range forecasts for Qingdao indicate a high near 25–27°C on September 10 under multi-cloud skies and light northerly flow, driving trader consensus toward 27–28°C as the most probable maximum. Coastal location introduces moderation from the Yellow Sea, limiting diurnal peaks compared to inland areas, while September climatology shows average highs around 26°C with low precipitation risk. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating the observed tight clustering between 26–30°C outcomes. Updated CMA or ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 10. September?
30°C 28%
28°C 24%
27°C 23%
29°C 15%
23°C oder darunter
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
23%
28°C
24%
29°C
15%
30°C
28%
31°C
7%
32°C
8%
33°C oder höher
14%
30°C 28%
28°C 24%
27°C 23%
29°C 15%
23°C oder darunter
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
23%
28°C
24%
29°C
15%
30°C
28%
31°C
7%
32°C
8%
33°C oder höher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent extended-range forecasts for Qingdao indicate a high near 25–27°C on September 10 under multi-cloud skies and light northerly flow, driving trader consensus toward 27–28°C as the most probable maximum. Coastal location introduces moderation from the Yellow Sea, limiting diurnal peaks compared to inland areas, while September climatology shows average highs around 26°C with low precipitation risk. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating the observed tight clustering between 26–30°C outcomes. Updated CMA or ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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