Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10 at 32°C due to consistent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration showing a daytime peak near that level under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C for the date and recent model runs projecting minimal deviation amid stable subtropical conditions without strong convective activity or heat advection. Official observations through the day have tracked toward this threshold, reinforcing market-implied odds near 100%. A realistic challenge could arise from localized heavy showers or thicker cloud cover suppressing the maximum by 1–2°C, or clearer skies permitting a brief spike above it, though ensemble consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 10. September?
32°C 100.0%
27°C oder darunter <1%
28 °C <1%
29°C <1%
$42,218 Vol.
$42,218 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28 °C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder mehr
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C oder darunter <1%
28 °C <1%
29°C <1%
$42,218 Vol.
$42,218 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
27°C oder darunter
$241 Vol.
<1%
28 °C
$2,216 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,287 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,184 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,788 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,531 Vol.
100%
33°C
$6,615 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,251 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$6,572 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,308 Vol.
<1%
37°C oder mehr
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10 at 32°C due to consistent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration showing a daytime peak near that level under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C for the date and recent model runs projecting minimal deviation amid stable subtropical conditions without strong convective activity or heat advection. Official observations through the day have tracked toward this threshold, reinforcing market-implied odds near 100%. A realistic challenge could arise from localized heavy showers or thicker cloud cover suppressing the maximum by 1–2°C, or clearer skies permitting a brief spike above it, though ensemble consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$42,218Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10 at 32°C due to consistent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration showing a daytime peak near that level under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C for the date and recent model runs projecting minimal deviation amid stable subtropical conditions without strong convective activity or heat advection. Official observations through the day have tracked toward this threshold, reinforcing market-implied odds near 100%. A realistic challenge could arise from localized heavy showers or thicker cloud cover suppressing the maximum by 1–2°C, or clearer skies permitting a brief spike above it, though ensemble consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,218Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10 at 32°C due to consistent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration showing a daytime peak near that level under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C for the date and recent model runs projecting minimal deviation amid stable subtropical conditions without strong convective activity or heat advection. Official observations through the day have tracked toward this threshold, reinforcing market-implied odds near 100%. A realistic challenge could arise from localized heavy showers or thicker cloud cover suppressing the maximum by 1–2°C, or clearer skies permitting a brief spike above it, though ensemble consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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