Latest forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami's overnight low on September 12 will hinge on persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions support the market's tight clustering around 76–79 °F, with the 78–79 °F bin holding the slight edge at 37 %. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, keeping 74–75 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes within reach if a subtle dry slot or brief sea-breeze shift materializes before dawn. Updated model runs later today will refine the minimum, as small changes in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the recorded low across the narrow 2 °F bins traders are actively pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 12. September?
80-81°F 18%
74-75°F 13%
76-77°F 8%
73°F oder darunter <1%
$4,699 Vol.
$4,699 Vol.
73°F oder darunter
1%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
27%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F oder höher
<1%
80-81°F 18%
74-75°F 13%
76-77°F 8%
73°F oder darunter <1%
$4,699 Vol.
$4,699 Vol.
73°F oder darunter
1%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
27%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami's overnight low on September 12 will hinge on persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions support the market's tight clustering around 76–79 °F, with the 78–79 °F bin holding the slight edge at 37 %. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, keeping 74–75 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes within reach if a subtle dry slot or brief sea-breeze shift materializes before dawn. Updated model runs later today will refine the minimum, as small changes in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the recorded low across the narrow 2 °F bins traders are actively pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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